Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Borussia Dortmund (Germany) and Barcelona (Spain) will take place on December 11 at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: François Letexier (France)
Matches – 16 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 31%.
Predicted lineups for Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona
Borussia Dortmund (4-3-3): Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson – Pascal Gross, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer – Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Serhou Guirassy, Donyell Malen.
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Iñaki Peña – Pau Cubarsi, Jules Koundé, Iñigo Martínez, Alejandro Balde – Marc Casadó, Pedri – Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal, Pablo Torre – Robert Lewandowski.
Borussia Dortmund
The Germans have had two winning streaks in the group stage of the Champions League, with a defeat to Real Madrid (2-5) in between. Dortmund started the tournament with a 3-0 win over Club Brugge and a 7-1 thrashing of Celtic, and in the last two rounds, they secured clean-sheet victories against Sturm Graz (1-0) and Dinamo Zagreb (3-0). As a result, Borussia stands fourth with 12 points, leading their closest competitor, ranked eighth, by two points.
Defenders Waldemar Anton, Filippo Mane, and Niklas Süle, as well as forwards Maximilian Beyer and Serhou Guirassy, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Dortmund has won 7 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Borussia's last 8 games in this European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of the last 11 home matches for the Germans in this tournament.
Barcelona
The Spaniards had a shaky start to the main round of the tournament, losing away to Monaco (1-2). However, in the following rounds, they made no mistakes, defeating all their opponents by significant margins. The Catalans won three times at home, beating Young Boys (5-0), Bayern Munich (4-1), and Brest (3-0), and managed an away victory against Crvena Zvezda (5-2). Thanks to a superior goal difference, Hans Flick's side is ahead of Dortmund in the standings, occupying third place.
Goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, defender Andreas Christensen, and midfielder Marc Bernal are sidelined due to injuries.
- At least three goals have been scored in Barcelona's last eight Champions League matches.
- Both teams scored in 9 of the club's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- The team has not lost in the first half during their last 11 encounters in this European competition (6 wins and 5 draws).
Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona: Match Prediction
This is a clash between two teams in the top eight, both with good chances of advancing directly to the Champions League round of 16. I believe the Germans will not lose the upcoming match, as they are very strong at home. Borussia has not lost at home in the Champions League for 13 consecutive matches (9 wins and 4 draws). Meanwhile, Barcelona has only secured two victories in their last six away matches in this tournament (1 draw and 3 losses).
I also expect at least two goals in this encounter. Both clubs are among the most prolific in the current Champions League, scoring a combined total of 34 goals. Dortmund has found the net in their last seven home matches in this European competition. The Catalans have scored in their last five away games in the Champions League but have also conceded in their last six away matches in this tournament.
My prediction – "1X and Total over 1.5 goals"
