The DFB-Pokal quarter-final between Bayern Munich and Leipzig will take place on 11 February at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs Leipzig: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayern Munich
The Munich side beat Union 3:2 away from home in the previous round. That win was the team’s fifth in their last six DFB-Pokal matches (one defeat), and in every victory Bayern Munich have scored at least three goals. However, the club have been unable to keep a clean sheet in four straight games in the national cup. Surprisingly, the Munich side have reached the quarter-finals only for the second time in the previous six seasons. Before that, Bayern Munich won the trophy in back-to-back years.
- At least four goals have been scored in five of the team’s last six matches in the national cup.
- At home in this tournament, the club have avoided draws for nine consecutive matches (six wins, three defeats).
- Bayern Munich have conceded in six straight home DFB-Pokal matches.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)*
Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer – Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Luis Diaz – Harry Kane.
Leipzig
Ole Werner’s side thrashed Energie 4:1 away from home in the last round. As a result, Leipzig have won seven of their previous nine DFB-Pokal matches and have posted strong scoring numbers: only in the two defeats in that run did the club score fewer than three goals. The team’s recent record in the DFB-Pokal has been better than that of their upcoming opponents. The club have reached the quarter-finals in five of the last six editions and have lifted the trophy twice in that period.
- Both teams have scored in five of the team’s previous seven DFB-Pokal matches.
- Away from home, the club have won six of their last eight matches in this tournament (two defeats).
- A goal in both halves has been scored in eight of Leipzig’s previous nine away matches in the national cup.
Potential Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Maarten Vandevoordt – David Raum, Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba – Ezechiel Banzuzi, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald – Konrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, defender Castello Lukeba and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo are injured.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 7 (the DFB-Pokal, 2022/23 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 14%.
Bayern Munich vs Leipzig: Match Prediction
Just under a month ago, the teams met in the league. Until the 50th minute Leipzig were leading 1:0, but then the Munich side stepped up and put five past their opponents. Head-to-head meetings between these clubs are generally high-scoring: at least four goals have been scored in five of the last six Bundesliga meetings. We think the cup tie will follow the same pattern.
The Munich side continue to strike fear into opposing back lines. Vincent Kompany’s men are comfortably the league’s top scorers. Bayern Munich have also backed up that status in the DFB-Pokal, scoring at least three times in five of their last six matches. However, defensive issues have followed the club in this tournament as well: the Munich side have conceded in five of their previous seven games, including against lower-league opposition.
Leipzig are in the top five for goals scored in the 2025/26 Bundesliga. At the same time, Ole Werner’s side have conceded the most among the teams in the European qualification places. In the DFB-Pokal the club have gone four games without a clean sheet, but their scoring run now stands at eight matches, and in six games during that spell Leipzig have found the net at least three times.
Prediction: Over 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this tournament is listed.
