The matchday 22 Bundesliga fixture between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and St. Pauli will take place on 14 February at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen were unable to break down Borussia Monchengladbach last time out, drawing 1:1. As a result, the team ended a 15-match run of decisive results in the league (10 wins, five defeats). However, Kasper Hjulmand's men have now gone three Bundesliga matches without defeat, which is the club’s second-longest unbeaten spell of the current season. It is worth noting, though, that Bayer 04 Leverkusen have conceded in five of their last six Bundesliga games. In the standings, the club have remained in sixth place, three points adrift of the Champions League spots.
- The club have not scored more than two goals in seven of their last nine league matches.
- At home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won five of their previous seven Bundesliga games (two defeats).
- In five of their last seven home matches in this competition, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Janis Blaswich – Jarell Quansah, Loic Bade, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aleix Garcia, Arthur, Ignacio Fernandez – Patrik Schick, Malik Tillman, Jonas Hofmann.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and forward Nathan Tella are injured.
St. Pauli
The win over Stuttgart last matchday (2:1) was St. Pauli’s first in their last seven league games (three draws, three defeats). Even so, the team have scored more than once in a match only six times in the current campaign. Alexander Blessin's men, with 20 goals, are among the two lowest-scoring clubs in the league. St. Pauli are also second from bottom in the overall table, but the gap to safety in 15th place is just two points. We should also add that the Hamburg side have already suffered eight away defeats, and no other team have a worse record in that regard.
- Both teams to score has landed in five of St. Pauli’s previous seven Bundesliga matches.
- In six of their last eight away league games, the team have conceded at least twice.
- In five of their previous seven away matches in this competition, the club have scored exactly one goal.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani – Manolis Saliakas, Martijn Kaars.
Defender David Nemeth and forwards Iky-Jayde Jones and Andrea Untonghi are injured.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 10%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Just over a week ago, the opponents met in the German Cup, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen gave St. Pauli no chance at home, thrashing the Hamburg side 3:0. We think the league game will also go the way of Kasper Hjulmand's men. After all, the gap in quality and the teams’ Bundesliga results leave the visitors with virtually no chance.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won five of their last seven home league matches, with their only defeats in that spell coming against sides from the European qualification places. Even so, the home team did manage to score against Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund. In general, the hosts have had no issues in attack: they have scored in every home match of the Bundesliga 2025/26 season, and on five occasions they have netted at least twice.
The visitors can boast just one away win this season, which came back in August. Since then, Alexander Blessin's men have lost eight of their 10 away league matches (two draws). St. Pauli will find it difficult to contain the hosts’ attack, as the away side concede even against far less illustrious opponents. Even Augsburg and Wolfsburg, who sit nearby in the standings, have managed to score twice against the Hamburg side on their own ground.
Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI shown is from their most recent match in this competition.
