The Copa del Rey final between Barcelona and Real Madrid will take place on April 26 at the Olympic Stadium in Seville. Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Barcelona
The Catalans hold the record for the most Copa del Rey trophies, with 31 titles. They last won the tournament four years ago, defeating Athletic 4-0 in the final. In the current Copa del Rey campaign, Hans Flick's side has convincingly beaten their first three opponents: Barbastro (4-0), Betis (5-1), and Valencia (5-0). However, the semi-final was challenging, as they had to face Atletico. They advanced thanks to an away victory (4-4 and 1-0).
- The club is unbeaten in regular time in their last 8 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 2 draws).
- Barcelona has scored at least two goals in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 8 games in this tournament.
- The Catalans have won the first half in their last six Copa del Rey matches.
Predicted lineup for Barcelona (4-3-3)
Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Gerard Martin, Pau Cubarsi – Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Dani Olmo – Ferran Torres, Raphinha Dias, Lamine Yamal.
Midfielders Marc Casado and Marc Bernal, as well as defender Alex Balde and forward Robert Lewandowski, are sidelined due to injuries.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid's trophy cabinet includes 20 Copa del Rey titles. Their last victory in this tournament was in 2023, when they defeated Osasuna 2-1 in the final. The current Copa del Rey campaign has been tough for Carlo Ancelotti's side, with only Deportivo Minero being convincingly beaten (5-0). Against other La Liga teams, Real Madrid needed extra time to overcome Celta (2-2, extra time 3-0) and scored a decisive goal against Leganes after the 90th minute (3-2). In the semi-final, they managed to get past Real Sociedad (1-0 and 3-4, extra time 1-0).
- The team is unbeaten in regular time in their last nine Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 3 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- Real Madrid has not won the second half in their last four Copa del Rey games (2 draws and 2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-1-2)
Thibaut Courtois – Antonio Rudiger, Federico Valverde, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric, Dani Ceballos – Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo Goes, Vinicius Junior.
Defenders Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, are out due to injuries. Forward Kylian Mbappe and defenders David Alaba and Ferland Mendy are doubtful due to knocks.
Referee
Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea (Spain)
Matches – 20 (La Liga, Copa del Rey, and Supercopa de España, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 66;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
This season, Hans Flick's side has faced Real Madrid twice. In their first encounter in La Liga, the Catalans thrashed their rivals 4-0. The second match was the Spanish Super Cup final, where Barcelona again emerged victorious in a high-scoring affair, winning 5-2.
These fixtures are known for their high-scoring nature. At least three goals have been scored in 14 of the last 15 meetings across La Liga, Copa del Rey, and Supercopa de España. Additionally, Barcelona leads in scoring in both the current La Liga (averaging 2.7 goals per game) and the Champions League (3.1 goals).
I expect Real Madrid to find the net as well, as they aim to secure at least one trophy this season. In La Liga, Madrid averages exactly two goals per match and has scored against Barcelona in 6 of their last 7 official encounters.
I anticipate a high-scoring match, so my prediction is: Total over 2.5 goals
