The first leg of the 2025/26 Champions League round of 16 tie between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Tottenham Hotspur (England) will take place on 10 March at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid finished the league phase in 14th place in the standings. In the play-off round, the hosts knocked out Club Brugge thanks to a emphatic win in the decisive home match (4:1). As a result, the club will feature in the Champions League round of 16 for the third consecutive year and for the seventh time in the last eight seasons. It is worth noting that Atletico Madrid are still without a clean sheet in this season’s competition, but they have scored in every match except for the autumn trip to Arsenal (0:4). We should also add that the club have won just one of their last 10 European matches against English opposition (2 draws, 7 defeats); however, in their previous 17 home Champions League games against English teams, Atletico Madrid have suffered only two defeats (8 wins, 7 draws).
- Nine of the club’s last 10 Champions League matches have gone over the goals line.
- The Madrid side’s uncompromising home run in this competition has stretched to 15 games (13 wins, 2 defeats).
- Atletico Madrid have scored in 16 straight home matches in the Champions League.
Potential Atletico Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri – Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Ademola Lookman – Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth.
Midfielder Rodrigo Mendoza is unavailable due to injury.
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur rather surprisingly finished fourth in the league phase of the Champions League. Across eight matchdays, the club lost only one away game, against Paris Saint-Germain (3:5). Tottenham Hotspur have kept five clean sheets in their last six European matches, and they conceded seven goals in total in the previous stage—better than that only Arsenal (4). As a result, the visitors have reached the Champions League round of 16 for the first time since the 2022/23 season. It is also worth noting that the Londoners’ scoring run in this competition has now reached five matches, and in each of those games Tottenham Hotspur scored at least two goals.
- The club have won with a (+1.5) handicap in six of their last seven away matches in the Champions League.
- Tottenham Hotspur have failed to beat Spanish teams in six straight away European matches (3 draws, 3 defeats).
- The English side’s uncompromising run in the Champions League has stretched to five matches (4 wins, 1 defeat).
Potential Tottenham Hotspur Lineup (3-4-3)
Guglielmo Vicario – Kevin Danso, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven – Archie Gray,
Joao Palhinha, Conor Gallagher, Xavi Simons – Mathys Tel, Dominic Solanke, Randal Kolo Muani.
Due to injuries, midfielders Wilson Odobert, Lucas Bergvall, Rodrigo Bentancur and James Maddison remain sidelined, as do defenders Destiny Udogie and Ben Davies, plus forwards Mohammed Kudus and Dejan Kulusevski. Defender Djed Spence is a doubt.
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk (Netherlands)
Matches – 9 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 44%.
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur: Match Prediction
Atletico Madrid continue their Champions League journey, although the team still lack balance. The home side have scored in nine of their last 10 matches in this European season, and overall the club have failed to score in just one of their last 18 Champions League fixtures. Atletico Madrid’s current scoring streak in this competition has stretched to seven games. At the same time, in this season’s European campaign, the hosts have not managed to keep a single clean sheet. In each of the Spanish side’s last five home matches in the Champions League, both teams have consistently found the net.
Tottenham Hotspur are highly efficient going forward. During their current scoring run, which has reached five Champions League matches, the away side have averaged 2.8 goals per 90 minutes. At the same time, the visitors were one of the most reliable teams in the league phase of the competition. However, the Londoners now face a very tough trip and, on the road, Tottenham Hotspur have kept a clean sheet in only three of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Most likely, we will see an entertaining match with goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
