The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Athletic (Spain) and PSG (France) will take place on December 10 at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. Athletic – PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Athletic
Since their long-awaited return to the Champions League, Athletic have managed just one win in their opening five group matches. The solitary victory came at home in late October, when Athletic beat Qarabag 3-1. In the other four games the Basques recorded one draw and three defeats. Two weeks ago they shared the points with Slavia Prague (0-0); that was Ernesto Valverde's side’s first clean sheet in this season's Champions League, but it also marked the second consecutive game in which they failed to score. Overall, the Basques have only four goals in the current European campaign, a tally bettered by just three clubs. In the overall standings Athletic sit in 27th place, two points outside the play-off positions. Notably, the club has won only 2 of their last 10 European meetings against French opposition (2 draws, 6 defeats).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Athletic's last 8 Champions League matches.
- At least 2 goals were scored in 8 of Athletic's last 10 games in this competition.
- The club is unbeaten in 9 of their last 11 home Champions League fixtures (5 wins, 4 draws).
Predicted lineup Athletic (4-5-1)
Unai Simón – Yuri Berchiche, Andoni Gorosabel, Daniel Vivian, Lekue – Mikel Haur... , Oihan Sancet, Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Nico Williams, Alex Berenguer – Gorka Guruzeta.
Defender Aythor Paredes is serving a suspension. Injured and unavailable are defenders Aymeric Laporte and Unai Echilus, midfielder Beñat Prados and forward Marouane Sannadi. Iñaki Williams may return to the squad. The participation of midfielder Robert Navarro is doubtful.
PSG
Paris responded well to their home defeat by Bayern in Matchday 4 (1-2). After that setback the Parisians came out firing in a thrilling 5-3 win over Tottenham, marking PSG's seventh victory in their last eight Champions League matches. The club's scoring run in this competition has reached 11 games, although the French side have failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive matches. With 12 points from 15, Luis Enrique's team sit second overall, behind only Arsenal. PSG have scored 19 goals in the Champions League so far, the best tally in the competition. In 5 of their last 7 group-stage games the Parisians have scored four or more goals. Additionally, PSG are unbeaten in 10 of their last 13 European meetings with Spanish clubs (8 wins, 2 draws).
- PSG have won 7 of their last 8 away Champions League matches.
- The club's uncompromising streak in this competition spans 19 matches (14 wins, 5 defeats).
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 7 of PSG's recent Champions League fixtures.
Predicted lineup PSG (4-3-3)
Matvey Safonov – Marquinhos, Ilia Zabarny, William Pacho, Warren Zaire-Emery – João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz – Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola.
Defender Lucas Hernandez is suspended. Injured and out are goalkeeper Luca Chevalier and defender Achraf Hakimi. Defenders Nuno Mendes, Ilia Zabarny and Lucas Beraldo, plus forward Désiré Doué, could return to the squad.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 7 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 14%.
Match prediction Athletic – PSG
Athletic have struggled to find consistent form, and their lack of attacking production has been costly in the Champions League. Across five matches they have managed only one clean sheet and have conceded at least two goals in three of their previous five group games.
PSG are the competition's most prolific team, averaging 3.8 goals per game. The French side have scored at least twice in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament, often against strong opposition. Paris maintain that level on the road as well: they have scored two or more goals in 6 of their last 8 away Champions League fixtures.
My prediction – PSG to score over 1.5 goals
