The Matchday 38 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Parma will take place on May 25 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Parma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side emerged victorious against Genoa in their last away match (3-2). This win marks Atalanta's fifth victory in their last six Serie A matches. However, the team conceded more than one goal for the first time in eight previous league encounters. Atalanta has accumulated 74 points and sits in third place in the standings. Regardless of the outcome in the final round, they will finish the season in third place. Notably, Atalanta has scored 76 goals in the current championship, second only to Inter (77).
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A (5 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Atalanta's last 8 home league matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Atalanta's last 7 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Rui Patricio – Isaac Hien, Marten de Roon, Odilon Kossounou – Marco Palestra, Ibrahim Sulemana, Marco Brescianini, Matteo Ruggeri – Lazar Samardzic, Mateo Retegui, Daniel Maldini.
Defenders Rafael Toloi, Stefan Posch, Sead Kolasinac, and Giorgio Scalvini, midfielder Juan Cuadrado, and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the game due to injuries.
Parma
In their last match, Cristian Chivu's side managed to take points from Napoli at home (0-0). As a result, Parma has avoided defeat in eight of their last ten Serie A matches (1 win, 7 draws). Additionally, the team recorded their seventh clean sheet in the current championship. The club has accumulated 33 points and is in 16th place in the standings. To secure their place in Italy's top division, Parma needs a win or hope for a slip-up from either Lecce or Empoli. Notably, the team has secured only one away victory this Serie A season, surpassing only Venezia in this regard.
- The club has not won in their last 12 away Serie A matches (5 draws, 7 losses).
- Parma has not conceded more than two goals in seven previous away league matches.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of Parma's last 7 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Parma (4-3-3)
Zion Suzuki – Emanuele Valeri, Botond Balogh, Giovanni Leone, Enrico Del Prato – Antony Enoh, Simon Zomm, Alessandro Circati – Hernani, Mateo Pellegrino, Ange-Yoan Bonny.
Forwards Valentin Mihaila and Gabriel Charpentier will miss the game due to injuries.
Head coach Cristian Chivu is suspended for this match.
Referee
Livio Marinelli (Italy)
Matches – 15 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 27%.
Atalanta vs. Parma: Match Prediction
In the latter half of the current championship, Atalanta has slowed down considerably in their home matches, with the team's results declining. Primarily, their scoring has suffered: in 2025, Atalanta played ten home league matches and never scored more than two goals, often limiting themselves to just one. Moreover, in four of these matches, the team failed to score at all.
Parma prefers a more defensive approach on the road, spending little time in attack. In their last 12 away Serie A matches, Parma has only breached their opponents' defense more than once on two occasions, failing to score in six of those games. However, the team has been solid defensively, conceding just eight goals in their last seven away matches and keeping two clean sheets.
In my opinion, a high-scoring match is unlikely. My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
