The second leg of the third qualifying round of the 2025/26 Conference League between Astana (Kazakhstan) and Lausanne (Switzerland) will take place on August 14 at the Astana Arena. The first match ended 3-1 in favor of Lausanne. Astana vs. Lausanne: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Astana
In the first match, Grigory Babayan's team lost 1-3, scoring their only goal at the very end of the game. As a result, Astana failed to secure a win for the seventh time in their last eight Conference League matches (3 draws, 4 losses). Additionally, it was only the second time in the previous 15 encounters in this European competition that the team conceded more than two goals. To advance to the next round, the Kazakh side needs to win by at least three goals in regular time. Notably, Astana participated in the main draw of the Conference League in the previous two seasons.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Conference League (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has scored exactly one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 home games in this European competition.
- The Kazakh side has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Astana (4-5-1)
Mukhammedzhan Seisen – Yan Vorogovsky, Alexander Marochkin, Karlo Bartolec, Kipras Kazukolovas – Usman Kamara, Aleksa Amanovich, Branimir Kalaica, Ivan Basic, Max Ebong – Chinedu Geoffrey.
Lausanne
The Swiss side outperformed their opponents in the first meeting, securing their second consecutive victory in the Conference League. Lausanne scored eight goals over these two matches, conceding just one. To advance to the next round of qualification, the club needs to avoid losing by more than one goal over 90 minutes, and if they lose by a two-goal margin, extra time will be played. Notably, Lausanne has not participated in European competitions since the 2010/11 season.
- The team has not won in their last five away matches in the Swiss championship (3 draws, 2 losses).
- Both opponents scored in 4 of the last 5 away games in the championship.
- Lausanne scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches in the Swiss Super League.
Predicted lineup for Lausanne (4-4-2)
Karlo Letica – Bryan Oko, Keven Mwang, Morgan Poaty, Noe Dussen – Beyatt Lekweiry, Olivier Custodio, Gaoussou Diakite, Jamie Roche – Nathan Butler-Oyedeji, Mamadou Kaly Sene.
Referee
Martin Matosa (Slovenia)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Astana vs. Lausanne: Match Prediction
Grigory Babayan's team, in their attempts to overcome a two-goal deficit, will likely try to put serious pressure on the opponent's defense. Therefore, I expect an active attacking game from Astana. Moreover, the Kazakh side generally plays effectively at home in European competitions: in their last 16 home matches in the Conference League, the club's players failed to score only once. However, in the last six home matches in this tournament, they have conceded.
Lausanne has shown excellent creativity in this season's Conference League, scoring nine goals in three matches. In the Swiss championship, the team is also effective in attack: in 10 of their last 12 away encounters in the Super League, the team has not left the field without scoring. Moreover, in six matches during this stretch, the club's players have scored at least twice. Meanwhile, in their last 13 away games in the championship, Lausanne has managed a clean sheet only once.
I expect a high-scoring game from both teams, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
